Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.689008 0.890774 1.118463 1.391206 1.705841 2.054386 2.466627
2025-03-09 0.452825 0.716169 1.051043 1.493130 2.046813 2.703714 3.528183
2025-03-16 0.274167 0.545012 0.935845 1.502075 2.264528 3.221780 4.480268
2025-03-23 0.188052 0.466072 0.915449 1.617824 2.617234 3.924304 5.698822
2025-03-30 0.123253 0.390609 0.876502 1.692599 2.912501 4.564760 6.868578
2025-04-06 0.075335 0.318818 0.820947 1.726464 3.143886 5.125132 7.953026
2025-04-13 0.038707 0.242398 0.731980 1.686886 3.255201 5.517900 8.822366
2025-04-20 0.020301 0.195541 0.683319 1.701972 3.442714 6.018520 9.848143
2025-04-27 0.009646 0.158298 0.641214 1.718323 3.627304 6.516571 10.880087
2025-05-04 0.002899 0.116815 0.570897 1.667090 3.692623 6.836197 11.665638
2025-05-11 0.000412 0.083298 0.503529 1.606687 3.732172 7.112419 12.390916
2025-05-18 0.000017 0.065381 0.472911 1.616004 3.888914 7.568954 13.383697
2025-05-25 NaN 0.045618 0.422970 1.575658 3.958060 7.899063 14.213349
2025-06-01 NaN 0.040675 0.429542 1.668239 4.275659 8.632006 15.656351
2025-06-08 NaN 0.029904 0.400404 1.668511 4.420035 9.092329 16.704009
2025-06-15 NaN 0.028197 0.417287 1.787650 4.796122 9.936416 18.343143
2025-06-22 NaN 0.024282 0.418304 1.864943 5.094419 10.660710 19.813972
2025-06-29 NaN 0.018960 0.404449 1.899705 5.310345 11.254486 21.096659
2025-07-06 NaN 0.011954 0.365482 1.856757 5.367807 11.585926 21.983790
2025-07-13 NaN 0.008465 0.348192 1.872488 5.542839 12.116163 23.183036
2025-07-20 NaN 0.005852 0.332556 1.889740 5.720242 12.652642 24.398129
2025-07-27 NaN 0.002905 0.296741 1.834982 5.741986 12.922825 25.202087
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001121 0.261091 1.770445 5.736235 13.142690 25.928187